Archive for the Uncategorized Category

Dylan Bundy: Painting the Corner

Posted in Uncategorized with tags , on April 8, 2016 by oriolesprovingground

A couple of days ago, the writers at ESPN Sweetspot Orioles blog Camden Depot dedicated an entire day to the return of a healthy Dylan Bundy. It was labeled as #BundyBash, with a plethora of articles dedicated to Bundy were posted throughout the day. I contributed to this effort as well. Did you know that Dylan Bundy took up painting in the offseason? He did, and my post focused on critiquing his artwork. Obviously I’m not an art critic and the post is meant to be fun. So head on over to Camden Depot to check out my critique of his paintings, as well as all the other Dylan Bundy related posts associated with #BundyBash.

Direct Link to Article –> Dylan Bundy: Painting the Corner

Observations from the New York-Penn All-Star Game

Posted in Minor Leagues, Uncategorized with tags , , , , , , , , on August 20, 2015 by oriolesprovingground

Tuesday night I travelled with a couple of friends up to Aberdeen to catch the Short-Season New York-Penn League All-Star game.  I wrote about some of my observations from the game for ESPN Sweetspot Network Orioles blog Camden Depot.  The post includes notes on the two Orioles representatives as well as a couple of other players, including a former 1st round pick of the Philadelphia Phillies.

Direct Link to Article –> Observations from the New York-Penn League All-Star Game

A Conversation with Former MLB Outfielder Doug Glanville

Posted in Uncategorized with tags , , , on May 7, 2015 by oriolesprovingground

Yesterday I had to the opportunity to talk so baseball with former major league outfielder and current ESPN MLB analyst Doug Glanville.  We mostly chatted about Adam Jones and defensive metrics, as well on his thoughts about the Orioles chances in the 2015 season.  Head over to ESPN Sweetspot Network Orioles blog Camden Depot to check out the recap of our conversation.

Direct Link to Article –> A Conversation with Former MLB Outfielder Doug Glanville

Watching a Strange Ballgame in Baltimore

Posted in Uncategorized with tags , , , on April 30, 2015 by oriolesprovingground

Yesterday, the Orioles played the White Sox in front of an empty stadium at Camden Yards.  The game was televised, so I watched the majority of it and today at ESPN Sweetspot Network Orioles blog Camden Depot, I talk a little bit about how strange that was.

Direct Link to Article –> Watching a Strange Ballgame in Baltimore

The Misunderstood Relationship Between Team Chemistry and Sabermetrics

Posted in Uncategorized with tags , , on March 6, 2015 by oriolesprovingground

After inadvertently taking the entire month of February off, I’m finally back with a new article.  Nearly two weeks ago, MASN writer Steve Melewski created an uproar by tweeting the following.

Today at ESPN Sweetspot Network Orioles blog Camden Depot I examine that while he’s technically right, he misses the mark.

Direct Link to Article –> The Misunderstood Relationship Between Team Chemistry and Sabermetrics

Orioles Proving Ground Now on Twitter!

Posted in Uncategorized on August 21, 2013 by oriolesprovingground

The title of this post basically says it all.  Orioles Proving Ground is now on Twitter (and actually has been for about a week, so…sorry for the late notice).  Follow us @OriolesPG for links to blog posts (mine or other posts I find interesting), thoughts, observations, etc.

Orioles Trade Options at the Deadline: Oliver Perez

Posted in Pitching, Trades, Uncategorized with tags , , , , , on July 18, 2013 by oriolesprovingground

The following post was written by Doug Nickerson in the very first guest post for Orioles Proving Ground.  Nickerson grew up as a Red Sox fan on Cape Cod, MA and is looking forward to writing about the Orioles with his knowledge of the AL East from a non-emotional perspective.  He moved to the DC area last August, and while he loves the city, he hates humidity and traffic.

Hi Orioles Fans!  Thanks for coming to Orioles Proving Ground.  This is my first contribution to OriolesPG; I hope you find it insightful and please let me know what you think.

As mentioned in Nate’s earlier post on laying out the needs of the Orioles coming into July, Baltimore needs pitching, pitching, and then more pitching. Dan Duquette looked to secure the back half of his rotation by acquiring starter Scott Feldman from the Cubs.  With the return of Wei-Yin Chen from the disabled list, and hopefully an improvement from either Jason Hammel (a FIP of 6.99 since June 1st says probably not), Zach Britton (pitched well but not far into games since June 18th with a high GB% of 54% and a BABIP of .282, and was optioned to AAA on July 9), or Kevin Gausman (pitched well out of the ‘pen but mixed results as a starter, and also optioned to AAA on July 9) the rotation will be stable and dependable 1-5.

That leaves the bullpen as a glaring need for improvement.  As with every year, teams in contention are looking for bullpen help as relievers performance can be fickle.  With the addition of another wildcard playoff spot, more teams are in contention and fewer teams are looking to sell.  Thus basic supply and demand can drive up the cost of these trade assets.  The Orioles will not be looking to be on the wrong end of a trade as the infamous Heathcliff Slocumb for Jason Varitek and Derek Lowe in 1997, or to a lesser extent, the Eric Gagne (horrific after trade) and cash (unneeded but best thing the Red Sox got) for David Murphy (a serviceable 10.2 WAR since trade), Kason Gabbard (forgettable), and Engel Beltre (23 and just called up to majors this week) trade.

Many rumors are circulating that the Orioles are looking into Oliver Perez.  I find this a high risk/high reward proposition for the Orioles.  Perez has done an amazing job re-making himself into a very good left-handed reliever in the last two years.  Thus, he also has a small sample size, which can give misleading data for a reliever.  However, this year he has held left handed batters to a .250 AVG while keeping right handed batters to an even lower .171 AVG.  This is exactly what the Orioles could use out of their ‘pen.  Darren O’Day, Brian Matusz, and Tommy Hunter have been tough on same side match ups but have done poorly against opposite handed batters.  The other mainstays of the bullpen have been mediocre to borderline bad to either side of the plate.  As seen from the chart below:

   

Split

IP

AVG

BABIP

FIP

xFIP

Darren O’Day

RHP

vs L

14.2

0.312

0.362

4.63

4.48

vs R

27

0.161

0.213

2.80

3.29

Brian Matusz

LHP

vs L

22.2

0.141

0.167

2.80

3.07

vs R

13.1

0.321

0.354

4.56

5.16

Tommy Hunter

RHP

vs L

24.1

0.278

0.263

6.14

4.42

vs R

28

0.118

0.162

2.02

3.43

T.J. McFarland

LHP

vs L

20

0.263

0.333

3.16

2.47

vs R

28

0.265

0.306

3.63

4.47

Troy Patton

LHP

vs L

16.2

0.269

0.278

4.56

3.9

vs R

22.1

0.277

0.333

3.82

4.62

Jim Johnson

RHP

vs L

24.1

0.250

0.296

3.92

3.83

vs R

19.1

0.264

0.333

3.22

3.49

Although Perez’s stats look great now, they do come with an asterisk of caution.  The issue is Perez’s pitching style.  He is a strikeout-flyball pitcher.  His HR/FB ratio has been 7.9% which is slightly better than the league average of 9.8%.  This number is not alarming since he’s playing half of his games at the deep caverns of SafeCo Field and all of his home runs allowed have been at home to right handed batters.  However, his FB% is much higher than the league average, 49.4% vs. 35.4%, and his career average is 47.4%.  With 32 of the final 66 games at home and 12 of the 34 away games being played at flyball unfriendly stadiums (Fenway, Yankee Stadium, Toronto), it can be assumed that his HR/FB ratio would increase with the Orioles.  Having Perez implode with a high HR/FB ratio is the biggest risk the Orioles would be taking in acquiring him.

Adding to his list of positives, Oliver Perez has an attractive contract to the Baltimore organization.  He is in the middle of a 1 year deal for $1.5 million for which they would only be responsible for the prorated remainder.  Trading for Perez, the Orioles would be wise to only offer a lower level prospect, maybe someone they rank no higher than their 15th best prospect, due to the lack of draft compensation if Perez leaves via free agency. This is a distinct possibility, especially if he continues to play as he has since becoming a reliever, he could play himself into a bigger contract that the Orioles would be unwilling to give him.  With only 2 more weeks until the non-waiver trade deadline, look out for more analysis on potential bullpen additions to the Orioles bullpen.